An Exercise in Vagueness

The rapid rise in house prices -- which has made Americans feel wealthy and inclined to spend over the last several years -- won't continue indefinitely, the president's top economist said Thursday.Art is by Max Schindler
Still, a mild slowing in the buoyant housing market shouldn't pose a danger to the country's overall economic health, Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, told Congress' Joint Economic Committee.
"House prices are unlikely to continue rising at their current rates," he said. "However, as reflected in many private-sector forecasts ... a moderate cooling in the housing market, should one occur, would not be inconsistent with the economy continuing to grow at or near its potential next year."
Many private analysts would consider such growth to be around 3.25 percent.
Bernanke's comments were part of wide-ranging testimony on the economy's outlook. Bernanke repeated the Bush administration's belief that the double blows of hurricanes Katrina and Rita will reduce economic growth in the short term, but the economy's longer-term growth path remains solid. That's consistent with the assessment made by Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and his colleagues.
Bernanke, a former Fed member, is mentioned frequently as a possible successor to Greenspan, whose 18-year run at the central bank is expected to end early next year.
— The Boy in the Big Housing Bubble
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